Reseña del libro "WHY NOBODY COUNTS ON GLOBAL WARMING (en Inglés)"
Almost everyone believes the climate forecast. Oil companies believed it before their critics were born. Defense ministries plan around it. Reinsurers have quietly repriced whole coastlines because their shareholders would be furious to learn later that they had not. Even the loudest skeptics, read closely, usually turn out to be arguing about the bill rather than the physics. And almost nobody counts on it. Not plans for it, in the sense of pledges, targets, frameworks and the vast administrative literature of good intentions, but counts on it: treats the warming as a fixed condition of the problem, the way a farmer treats the length of the day. Culverts are still sized for rainfall that no longer falls. Orchards are planted for the winters of a place that is leaving. Meanwhile, in documents nobody reads aloud, somebody is buying farmland in Saskatchewan at prices that make no sense under the current growing season. Boris Kriger argues that we have built an argument in which believing the forecast and acting on the forecast have somehow become opposite gestures. Planning around warming looks like collaborating with it, so the planning goes underground, into actuarial tables and land registries, while the public conversation keeps a ledger with one column in it. The gains of a warming world go unrecorded not because anyone suppresses them but because a February that kills nobody cannot be photographed, and a disaster can. This is not a book claiming that warming is harmless, natural, exaggerated or invented. It disputes the accounting, not the physics. It ends not with a net figure but with the argument that the net figure is the disease: gains and losses sit in different currencies, different countries and different centuries, bolted to concrete that cannot be moved, and nothing about them cancels. What is left is a duller and far more useful question. Given that this is happening, what should we be building? Keywords: climate change, adaptation, risk, forecasting, environmental policy, decision-making, global warming
